BizAnalyst Network: Prepare to be Shocked

Tuesday, November 01, 2005

Prepare to be Shocked

Prepare to be Shocked
Monday, October 31st, 2005
Baltimore, MD * Jackson, WY * Missoula, MT

* The End of Times
* Country Roads, Take Me Elsewhere
* Love Train
* Please Don't Spit in the Aisle

"The youth gets together his materials to build a bridge to the moon,
or, perchance, a palace or temple on the earth, and, at length, the
middle-aged man concludes to build a woodshed with them."

- Henry David Thoreau

_____

Dear Wealth Daily Reader,

It's Halloween.

And I have to tell you, the last time the old Lukester was this scared
was back in 1983 when I ran into Oprah. She was walking the streets of
Baltimore before she had her face on.

But nothing compares to what I'm about to tell you...

The End of Times

You see, I just finished reading the latest issue of the Petroleum
Review. It knocked my socks off.

It outlines that the world is now up that proverbial peak oil creek
without a paddle.

Fueled by the growing demand for fossil fuels, global oil production has
increased over the years. But according to the October issue of the
Petroleum Review, the party is over.

The current review illustrates that crude production by the world's
largest private oil companies is currently in decline. Oh, and please
keep in mind, that oil demand is still growing.

The latest production statistics show that in the first half of 2005,
most the top 22. and almost all of the 10 publicly traded oil companies
produced less crude and natural gas liquids than they did in 2004.

Take a look:

From now on, every year going forward, production will fail to meet
demand, and shortfalls will increase. Mark my words.

The major oil companies are now really struggling to hold production
levels. And only a small few are managing to maintain their market share
of global production.

The review stated that of the top five oil giants, British Petroleum was
the only company that managed to increased production at all.

If this doesn't vividly exemplify that the world now faces a serious
production problem, I don't know what does.

Producers can no longer keep up with the world's insatiable appetite for
oil. So prices must continue to climb.

High oil prices mean high prices for just about everything else. And the
majority of Americans are in for a rude awakening.

This couldn't come at a worse time.

As you're about to read from Sam Hopkins, the Chinese economic
juggernaut is just getting started. The fuel the Chinese transportation
industry will need in the years ahead is going to stretch oil and gas
supplies tighter than Joan Rivers' face.

Happy Halloween...

Or, as the Thought Police here in Balwmer call it now...

Happy Fall Festival,

Luke Burgess

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_____

Country Roads, Take Me Elsewhere

Come and Get Yer Fresh Highway Wheat!

Transportation is not just a means. It's a double means, to two
different ends.

Example: I rode in a car through areas of China's Qinghai Province where
the seasonal harvest of wheat was being carried out by thousands of
rural families.

We sped along, honking all the way to urge the farm-folk out of the road
as we passed through. I couldn't believe their lack of hustle, and they
left wheat on the hard-top!

Then I got sight of a few of them actually throwing their fresh grain in
our way on purpose. Initially baffled, it dawned on me: they had figured
out a way to make annoying traffic work to their advantage, by threshing
their wheat with the wheels of passing autos.

In my experience, I reached my destination and helped someone get their
daily bread. By any account, though, transportation is more than just
getting from A to B.

The Drive to...well, Drive

As gas prices have gone up here in the States, we've heard a lot of talk
about how the industries dependent on automobiles have suffered. In
China, whether petroleum is expensive or not there is going to be a
feeding frenzy of automotive buying over the coming decade and more.

I've said it before, but I have to reiterate. By the time 2020 rolls
around, China expects yearly auto demand to exceed 20 million units.
That's more than any country in the world, and a quarter of the total
global demand.

Avis is currently China's leading joint venture auto rental company,
through Anji Car Rental & Leasing Co., Ltd. Avis is predicting that
Chinese drivers will not only want to drive their own cars, but rent
them as well for vacations and long trips. Given the budding Chinese
fancy for extravagance, that is a pretty safe bet.

Avis is going in strong. Anji Rental currently operates 10 rental
locations. By 2007-less than two years from now-Avis plans to have
established 70 locations in 26 Chinese cities. Now that's trying harder.

HL3: Our Days of Having Fresh Water are Numbered

* Wells are drying up.
* The only fresh water coming in is in the forms of hurricanes and
floods.
* Fresh, drinkable water is less than .08% of all water on the
planet.
* Every time our population doubles, water usage triples.
* By 2020 we will need 17% more water than is available to feed
the planet.

Desalination companies, turning seawater into safe drinking water, and
their investors are making out like bandits.

* One company has averaged gains of 28.4% annually.
* And new deals have just been signed that will tower over its
past growth.
* The stock has also paid a massive dividend for 18
quarters-straight.
* You will feel as if you are being paid to own this stock.

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_____

Love Train

North Korea is commissioning a Chinese firm to expand its railway
system, a further example of strengthening ties between the DPRK
(Democratic People's Republic of Korea) and China.

It is hoped that this increased economic interaction will help to soften
North Korea's stand on nuclear weapon threats in the coming years as
interdependency grows between the hermit state and its neighbors. South
Korea has even built a new road and railroad across the demilitarized
zone to ferry tourists over the 38th parallel.

The significant growth in Chinese rail technology includes the highest
railroad and highway in the world, which connects Tibetan Autonomous
Region and Qinghai Province.

Greater mobility across these picturesque regions means more
opportunities for urban Chinese to experience open spaces. This will
surely be a popular choice with more and more city-dwellers who feel
trapped by the coastal Chinese conurbation.

Keep Your Head in the Clouds

Unfortunately, roads bring destruction. They require the clearing of
land, often by blasting it away. They can also dispossess families and
businesses that stand in the way of the area zoned for construction. But
nobody lives in the clouds.

China Eastern Airlines recently became the first airline in the
Asia-Pacific region to boast of 100 Airbus aircraft. This is the result
of 20 years of cooperation between the French avionics giant and the
Chinese civil air transportation industry. Airbus is helping to both
create and reap the whirlwind of China's lust for tourism and expanding
business travel.

China Eastern isn't alone in its relationship with Airbus, as over 65
more aircraft are expected to be delivered by Airbus to Chinese airlines
just this year. That makes up a total of 28 percent of the market, and
even if that percentage remains stagnant, real numbers of export to
China will continue to climb with consumer and industry demand.

Foreign investors want their money in budding enterprises in China that
they know will take off, and plane travel is the obvious choice.

International dealmaker George Soros has twice invested 25 million
well-placed shares in Hainan Airlines. Once to purchase 100 million
shares at a friggin' quarter a share in 1995, and again this year to
officially merge Hainan with its subsidiaries to form Grand China Air.

Consider these injections booster shots as Grand China Air coalesces to
be the 4th largest air carrier in China, with American Soros holding a
fat 15% stake.

"World's Largest Oil Companies are
Slipping in Production Levels"
-Small Projects are Beginning to Capture Market Share

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_____

Please Don't Spit in the Aisle

This week, official cartoons and public announcements started going out
over Chinese airwaves and through the press. The message: Clean up,
we're having guests!

When Beijing hosts the Olympics in 2008, the world will be viewing and
visiting the country in a very intimate way. Various cities will host
events, and each place will be pressed to behave itself sublimely as
spectators, athletes and press flood the game sites.

This means that jostling in lines and spitting on floors won't be
tolerated-a significant change for many.

The travel industry will be no exception, as millions of Chinese and
international visitors hire conveyance. So China is also amping up the
smiley faces of the transportation industry.

I rode on plane flights in China where my companion and I were the only
westerners on the plane, but English was still spoken in the
announcements.

China Eastern Airlines has hired Indian flight attendants, and Air China
has hired Germans, all of whom will be required to learn Chinese. The
major players will continue to put an international face on China's air
hospitality to increase quality service over the coming years.

I predict that, as with so many other trades, Chinese will observe,
practice, and then do it for themselves.

Sam Hopkins