Optionetics: OUTSIDE THE BOX: Storm Tracking as a Predictive Indicator
OPTIONETICS.COM MID WEEK NEWSLETTER
10/26/2005
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EARNINGS LISTING
11/21/2005 - 11/25/2005
Monday November 21, 2005
Symbol Company Name
AMPX Ampex Corp -A
BLX Banco Latinoame
CATG Cambridge Antib
CPB Campbell Soup
CTIB Cti Industries
CWCO Consoltd Water
DY Dycom Inds
FRK Fla Rock Inds
GHCI Genesis Hlthcr
GME Gamestop Corp
http://www.optionetics.com/aspscript/link_outside.asp?newsDt=10_26_05&url=earnings&p=http://quotes.optionetics.com/optionetics/earncal.asp?date=20051121
Tuesday November 22, 2005
Symbol Company Name
ABS Albertsons Inc
ASFI Asta Funding
BF/B Brown Forman B
BWS Brown Shoe CO
CFI Culp Inc
CT:BMO Bank Montl-ts
CT:LTV Leitch Tech-ts
CT:WN Weston George
CWTR Coldwater Creek
DE Deere & CO
http://www.optionetics.com/aspscript/link_outside.asp?newsDt=10_26_05&url=earnings&p=http://quotes.optionetics.com/optionetics/earncal.asp?date=20051122
Wednesday November 23, 2005
Symbol Company Name
ACAM Acambis Plc-adr
CT:MKX Mks Inc
CT:TD Toronto Dom-ts
HRL Hormel Foods CP
PDCO Patterson Cos
TD Toronto Dom Bnk
TKS Tomkins Plc Adr
http://www.optionetics.com/aspscript/link_outside.asp?newsDt=10_26_05&url=earnings&p=http://quotes.optionetics.com/optionetics/earncal.asp?date=20051123
Thursday November 24, 2005
Symbol Company Name
IRE Ireland Bk-adr
MLEA Millea Hldgs
NTDOY Nintendo Ltd
TKC Turkcell Il-adr
http://www.optionetics.com/aspscript/link_outside.asp?newsDt=10_26_05&url=earnings&p=http://quotes.optionetics.com/optionetics/earncal.asp?date=20051124
Friday November 25, 2005
Symbol Company Name
OTE Hellenic Adr
http://www.optionetics.com/aspscript/link_outside.asp?newsDt=10_26_05&url=earnings&p=http://quotes.optionetics.com/optionetics/earncal.asp?date=20051125
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OUTSIDE THE BOX: Storm Tracking as a Predictive Indicator
By Jeff Neal, Optionetics.com
10/26/2005 8:15:00 AM
Who would of thought that one day equity traders and stock analysts would be regularly watching the Weather Channel to help construct forecasts for a particular market or stock? This has become a key task on Wall Street these days, especially after the major financial fallout caused by hurricanes Rita, Katrina and Wilma.
A large number of traders, analysts and portfolio managers are now looking at the weather as a major risk factor. The adverse impact these harsh storms inflicted on the Gulf Coast's energy infrastructure exposed a huge vulnerability in America's oil and gas supply chain. This ignited a big increase in the price of gasoline, as well as heating oil and natural gas needed to keep households warm during the winter.
All this has investors and traders very interested in just where the next hurricane might hit. In fact, these days they care about the weather forecast about as much as they care about the future direction of interest rates. The current environment on Wall Street has traders regularly monitoring the Weather Channel as well as viewing weather related websites. Many believe that factoring in the weather when selecting stocks is an absolute must. The reason is because these types of natural disasters can do a lot of damage to the economy and start a huge energy crisis, which could reduce profits for many companies.
Traders at large institutions like T. Rowe Price and others tune into the Weather Channel so they can report on the weather as it happens. During past storms they were constantly getting updates from the National Hurricane Center's website to determine the possible impact on stock prices. For instance, if oil rigs and refineries go down or are significantly damaged, many times you will see energy prices surge to the upside. This might be good for some of the energy stocks but is detrimental to most companies as it cuts into their profit margins, causing the overall market to turn to the downside.
During Katrina, for example, money flowed into many energy and building material stocks anticipating large price appreciation from energy shortages and the major re-construction efforts that will take place. After the year we have had in the Gulf, look for weather forecasting to be a permanent part of the investing landscape for some time to come.
Happy Trading.
Jeff Neal
Senior Writer, Options Strategist & Profit Strategies Radio Show Market Correspondent
Visit Jeff's Forum
http://www.optionetics.com/bbs/forum.asp?forum_id=141&forum_title=Ask+Jeff+N
Listen to Jeff at www.ProfitStrategiesRadio.com
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CBOE NEW LISTINGS
10/25/2005 05-758 Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR/QNX/ZMD) 2007 LEAPS�
10/21/2005 05-754 Palm Inc. (PALM/UPY/ZTO/LRK) 2007/2008 LEAPS�
10/21/2005 05-753 First Horizon Pharmaceutical Corp. (FHRX/FUF/ZHB/LHB) 2007/2008 LEAPS�
10/20/2005 05-747 New Listings
10/19/2005 05-748 Antigenics Inc. (AGEN/QHL/WQV) 2008 LEAPS�
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